Time Series Forecasting Developments

The field of time series forecasting is moving towards more efficient and effective solutions, with a focus on leveraging cross-modal dependencies, incorporating domain knowledge, and developing novel architectures. Recent advancements have shown that combining different modalities, such as visual and time series data, can lead to improved forecasting performance. Additionally, the use of transformers and other deep learning models has become increasingly popular, with innovations such as attention modulation and hybrid temporal and multivariate embeddings. Noteworthy papers include VIFO, which proposes a cross-modal forecasting model that renders multivariate time series into images, and PhaseFormer, which introduces a phase perspective for modeling periodicity and achieves state-of-the-art performance with a lightweight routing mechanism. Other notable papers include TimeFormer, which develops a novel Transformer architecture designed for time series data, and HTMformer, which combines hybrid temporal and multivariate embeddings with a Transformer architecture to build a lightweight forecaster.

Sources

VIFO: Visual Feature Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Cross-Modal Fusion

CrossLag: Predicting Major Dengue Outbreaks with a Domain Knowledge Informed Transformer

Lightweight and Data-Efficient MultivariateTime Series Forecasting using Residual-Stacked Gaussian (RS-GLinear) Architecture

PhaseFormer: From Patches to Phases for Efficient and Effective Time Series Forecasting

From News to Returns: A Granger-Causal Hypergraph Transformer on the Sphere

Benchmarking M-LTSF: Frequency and Noise-Based Evaluation of Multivariate Long Time Series Forecasting Models

Test-Time Efficient Pretrained Model Portfolios for Time Series Forecasting

Context-Aware Inference via Performance Forecasting in Decentralized Learning Networks

ATLO-ML: Adaptive Time-Length Optimizer for Machine Learning -- Insights from Air Quality Forecasting

TimeFormer: Transformer with Attention Modulation Empowered by Temporal Characteristics for Time Series Forecasting

CNN-TFT explained by SHAP with multi-head attention weights for time series forecasting

HTMformer: Hybrid Time and Multivariate Transformer for Time Series Forecasting

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