Advances in Time Series Forecasting and Financial Market Analysis

The field of time series forecasting and financial market analysis is experiencing significant advancements, driven by the development of innovative machine learning models and techniques. Recent research has focused on improving the accuracy and robustness of forecasting models, particularly in the context of high-frequency trading and financial market simulation. Notably, simple feedforward neural networks have been shown to achieve performance comparable to more complex models, highlighting the importance of careful model selection and evaluation. Additionally, the use of deep learning approaches, such as transformers and staged sliding window architectures, has demonstrated promising results in anomaly detection and stock price prediction. The development of new evaluation frameworks, such as ModelRadar, has also enabled more nuanced assessments of model performance. Furthermore, research has explored the application of time series forecasting techniques to new domains, including wireless networks and electromagnetic field exposure forecasting. Overall, these advancements have the potential to significantly impact the field of financial market analysis and time series forecasting.

Noteworthy papers include: LeForecast, which introduces an enterprise intelligence platform for time series forecasting that integrates advanced interpretations of time series data and multi-source information. CSPO, which proposes a framework for cross-market synergistic stock price movement forecasting with pseudo-volatility optimization, demonstrating superior performance over existing methods. EMForecaster, which develops a deep learning framework for time series forecasting in wireless networks with distribution-free uncertainty quantification, achieving state-of-the-art performance on several datasets.

Sources

A production planning benchmark for real-world refinery-petrochemical complexes

LeForecast: Enterprise Hybrid Forecast by Time Series Intelligence

CSPO: Cross-Market Synergistic Stock Price Movement Forecasting with Pseudo-volatility Optimization

Simple Feedfoward Neural Networks are Almost All You Need for Time Series Forecasting

ModelRadar: Aspect-based Forecast Evaluation

EMForecaster: A Deep Learning Framework for Time Series Forecasting in Wireless Networks with Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification

A Deep Learning Approach to Anomaly Detection in High-Frequency Trading Data

Towards Calibrating Financial Market Simulators with High-frequency Data

Hyperbolic decomposition of Dirichlet distance for ARMA models

Stock Price Prediction Using Triple Barrier Labeling and Raw OHLCV Data: Evidence from Korean Markets

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